What is the current probability for "Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa: Set 1 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa: Set 1 Winner": Paula Badosa 99%, Mary Stoiana 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 2, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWTASETWINNER-26SEP18STOBAD-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa: Set 1 Winner

·Sports·ends Oct 2, 2026

vol cum

$286.4k

vol 24h

$277k

outcomes

ends

Oct 2, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Paula Badosa

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$203.2k

vol 24h

$194.7k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 2, 2026

If Paula Badosa wins set 1 in the Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Sao Paulo Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 17, 2026opencloses · Oct 2, 2026

Paula Badosa · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.