What is the current probability for "WTI price on July 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "WTI price on July 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET?" are Above $79.69 81%, Above $79.99 81%, Above $79.39 79% — 8 of 40 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/22/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWTIH-26JUL1516. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event40 outcomes

WTI price on July 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET?

·Commodities·ends Jul 22, 2026

vol cum

$14.9k

vol 24h

$14.9k

outcomes

ends

Jul 22, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 40

marketselected outcome

Above $79.19

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$47

vol 24h

$47

spread

1.00

ends

Jul 22, 2026

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for WTI using the WTIQ6 contract on July 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT is above 79.19 USD/barrel, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 15, 2026closedresolved · Jul 15, 2026

Above $79.19 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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