What is the current probability for "How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?" are $110.01 or above 85%, $105.01 or above 81%, $115.01 or above 48% — 5 of 17 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 7, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWTIMAX-26DEC31. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event17 outcomes

How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?

·Finance·ends Jan 7, 2027

vol cum

$8.2M

vol 24h

$67.1k

outcomes

ends

Jan 7, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 17

marketselected outcome

$100.01 or above

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

vol cum

$465.7k

vol 24h

spread

0.00

ends

Jan 7, 2027

If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $100 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Mar 4, 2026closedresolved · Mar 31, 2026

$100.01 or above · prices over time

−24h

now

no price history yet

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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