What is the current probability for "How low will WTI oil get by Aug 31, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "How low will WTI oil get by Aug 31, 2026?": 75.49 or below 99%, 65.99 or below 15%, 66.49 or below 0% (top 3 of 20 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/7/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWTIMIN-26AUG31. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event20 outcomes

How low will WTI oil get by Aug 31, 2026?

·Commodities·ends Sep 7, 2026

vol cum

$12.5k

vol 24h

$12.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 7, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 20

marketselected outcome

75.49 or below

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$12.3k

vol 24h

$12.3k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 7, 2026

If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $75.50 between Issuance and Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 4, 2026opencloses · Sep 7, 2026

75.49 or below · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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