What is the current probability for "Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 7, 2026"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 7, 2026": Bass Persuades 12%, Tom MacDonald - "The Government" 3%, Sunflower 2% (top 3 of 15 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 21, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXYTTOPVIDEO2D-26SEP07. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event15 outcomes

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 7, 2026

·Culture·ends Sep 21, 2026

vol cum

$16.5k

vol 24h

$16.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

marketselected outcome

Bass Persuades

rank #1

12¢

▲ 12.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.4k

vol 24h

$2.4k

spread

0.82

ends

Sep 21, 2026

If Bass Persuades ranks #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Sep 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 6, 2026opencloses · Sep 21, 2026

Bass Persuades · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history