opentrade on Kalshi ↗

event2 outcomes

Arkansas Senate winner?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 01:15 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, “Tom Cotton” leads “Arkansas Senate winner?” on Kalshi at 95% (+1pp in 24h), followed by “Hallie Shoffner” at 5% (-1pp in 24h), out of 2 outcomes. The event has $2.4k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

vol cum

$251.2k

vol 24h

$2.4k

outcomes

2

ends

Nov 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Tom Cotton

rank #1

United States

95¢

▲ 0.8pp

24h change

vol cum

$68.3k

vol 24h

$1.7k

spread

0.00

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Arkansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Dec 3, 2024opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Tom Cotton · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata

Polymarket

Arkansas Senate Election Winner

Hallie Shoffner (D)6¢▼ 0.1ppTom Cotton (R) 95¢▲ 0.1ppPerson A—

$782 24h · 13 markets

Kalshi

Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)

Democratic party11¢· 0.0ppRepublican party96¢· 0.0pp

$4 24h · 2 markets

Gemini

Arkansas US Senate Winner

Tom Cotton97¢▲ 1.0ppHallie Shoffner8¢· 0.0pp

$0 24h · 2 markets

Polymarket

Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%18¢▼ 4.0ppRepublican 0-5%4¢▼ 2.7ppPerson A50¢

$85 24h · 12 markets

Kalshi

Arkansas Senate margin of victory

Cotton, 2+ pts87¢· 0.0ppCotton, 4+ pts84¢· 0.0ppCotton, 6+ pts82¢· 0.0pp

$0 24h · 17 markets

Polymarket

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

900K-975K57¢▲ 22.5pp975K-1.05M23¢▲ 8.5pp1.05M+8¢▼ 20.1pp

$3k 24h · 8 markets