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Texas Senate winner?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 21:59 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, “James Talarico” leads “Texas Senate winner?” on Kalshi at 75% (+2pp in 24h), followed by “Ken Paxton” at 27% (-1pp in 24h), out of 2 outcomes. The event has $19.8M in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini.

vol cum

$93.7M

vol 24h

$19.8M

outcomes

2

ends

Nov 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

James Talarico

rank #1

United States

75¢

▲ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$27.2M

vol 24h

$5.1M

spread

0.01

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Dec 3, 2024opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

James Talarico · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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suggested by pdata

Kalshi

Texas State Senate winner?

Democratic party5¢· 0.0ppRepublican party97¢▲ 1.0pp

$1.5k 24h · 2 markets

Polymarket

Texas Senate Election Winner

Ken Paxton (R)24¢· 0.0ppJames Talarico (D)77¢· 0.0ppPerson A—

$3.9M 24h · 13 markets

Gemini

Texas US Senate Winner

James Talarico78¢▲ 3.0ppKen Paxton29¢▼ 2.0ppJohn Cornyn0¢

$41.8k 24h · 3 markets

Kalshi

Texas Senate margin of victory

James Talarico, 5+ pts42¢▲ 8.0ppJames Talarico, 4+ pts45¢▲ 3.0ppJames Talarico, 2+ pts62¢▲ 2.0pp

$857.2k 24h · 16 markets

Polymarket

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Talarico 3-6%26¢▼ 8.5ppTalarico 12%+4¢▼ 0.7ppPaxton 3-6%4¢▼ 1.7pp

$82.5k 24h · 12 markets

Kalshi

Texas Senate: margin of victory

James Talarico, ≥8%19¢▲ 7.0ppKen Paxton, 0-2%18¢▼ 4.0ppJames Talarico, 2-4%21¢▼ 5.0pp

$328.6k 24h · 10 markets