What is the current probability for "World Cup, Portugal vs Croatia"?

Current Limitless odds for "World Cup, Portugal vs Croatia": Portugal 58%, Draw 26%, Croatia 17% (top 3 of 3 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/3/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from limitless's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/limitless/10012016. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Limitless

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event3 outcomes

World Cup, Portugal vs Croatia

·Sports·ends Jul 3, 2026

vol cum

$13.8k

vol 24h

$10.4k

outcomes

ends

Jul 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

FootballLumy

marketselected outcome

Portugal

rank #1

58¢

▲ 3.2pp

24h change

vol cum

$7.1k

vol 24h

$4.9k

spread

n/a

ends

Jul 3, 2026

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for July 2, 2026, 23:00 UTC. If the match is not completed within 90 minutes plus stoppage time and the competition authority awards an official win to one of the teams, the market will resolve according to that awarded result. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."

timeline

opened · Jun 28, 2026closing sooncloses · Jul 3, 2026

Portugal · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.