
<p>If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href="https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">IMF PortWatch</a>.</p>