What is the current probability for "BTC Up or Down - Daily"?

"Yes" is currently 44% (+6pp in the last 24h) on Limitless, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/14/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from limitless's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/limitless/322623. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

BTC Up or Down - Daily

·Crypto

44%

▲ 6.3pp

24h change

vol cum

$100.7k

vol 24h

$65.7k

spread

n/a

ends

Jul 14, 2026

Yes 44¢

No 56¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for Pyth BTC/USD on July 14, 2026, at 16:00 UTC is strictly higher than the price for Pyth BTC/USD on July 13, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The price for Pyth BTC/USD captured on July 13, 2026, at 16:00 UTC was $62,560.30268612. Resolution source: Pyth BTC/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. If Pyth is briefly missing data at exactly 16:00 UTC on July 14, 2026, the next available Pyth price within 5 seconds will be used for the affected timestamp. In the rare event of a longer Pyth outage, the market will be resolved manually by the Limitless team using the closest available Pyth price.

DailyLumyRecurring

timeline

opened · Jul 13, 2026closing sooncloses · Jul 14, 2026

similar markets