How many Supreme Court justices will vote that Trump's birthright citizenship executive order is unconstitutional?

·Politics·ends Feb 2, 2029

vol cum

M51.7k

vol 24h

M0

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6

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Feb 2, 2029

Refers to the first such case the US Supreme Court rules on in Trump's second term. If no such case is ruled on during Trump's second term, resolves to "4 or fewer". If the decision involves multiple votes with different outcomes, any justice who votes that the order is unconstitutional at least once will be counted. E.g. if there are two different 6-3 votes and the majority changes by one justice between them, this market resolves to "7". Update 2025-12-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there is no decision by the Supreme Court on this case during Trump's second term, the market will resolve to "4 or fewer".