Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?

Manifold·Finance

United States

As of 03:37 UTC on 1 Nov 2026, Manifold prices “Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?” at 92%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict, Myriad, Manifold and Limitless.

Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc.... I will consider Polymarket to have guessed correctly if the correct outcome is the most likely Polymarket answer 24 hours before the decision is made. Resolves on Dec. 9th after the last fed meeting. Reference Market: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1767801675891