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Who will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?

Manifold·Elections·ends Apr 30, 2027

As of 01:26 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 17 markets in “Who will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?” on Manifold are “Marine Le Pen” at 85%, “Jean-Luc Mélenchon” at 47% and “Edouard Philippe” at 23%. The event has M$2.7k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

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2027 French presidential election - Wikipedia If no one receives a majority (50%+1) in the first round, the 2 candidates with the most votes advance to the second round. This market resolves to the top 2 candidates in the first round. If someone gets a majority of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve yes to that candidate only. Resolves based on the next French election, even if it is early, in 2026.

electionsus-politicsfrancedemocratic-partypolitics-default
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Marine Le Pen
rank #1
France
85¢
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timeline
opened · Nov 5, 2026opencloses · Apr 30, 2027
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