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Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030? — pdata

pdata/markets/Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Source: manifold·Event ID: 2tEzuphRlP·Ends: 3/18/2030

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Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?
- YES: 65¢
- NO: 35¢