Will a woman walk on Mars before a woman is president of the United States?
As of 21:33 UTC on 11 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “Will a woman walk on Mars before a woman is president of the United States?” at 22%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met. For purposes of this market, "woman" is someone who identifies as a woman at the time of the respective event. If an astronaut or politician walked on Mars or became President of the United States as a man and then identified as transgender after leaving Mars or the Presidency, respectively, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to return to Mars or regain the presidency). I will not bet in this market. Related market: @/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-the-moon-befor
