Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
As of 21:54 UTC on 28 Oct 2026, “Yes, and he will be re-elected.” leads “Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?” on Manifold at 51% (+4pp in 24h), followed by “Yes, but he will not be re-elected.” at 47% (-3pp in 24h) and “No, he will not finish his first term.” at 2%, out of 3 outcomes. The event has M$454 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict and Limitless.
One and only one of the answers resolves to "yes" if he finishes December 9th, 2027, local time, as the official president on record or not. Closes on October 20th, 2027 or the day before the first round of the next presidential elections, whichever comes first. I will not bet on this question.
