Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
As of 07:54 UTC on 22 Oct 2026, “Yes, and he will be re-elected.” leads “Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?” on Manifold at 49% (-3pp in 24h), followed by “Yes, but he will not be re-elected.” at 47% (+2pp in 24h) and “No, he will not finish his first term.” at 3% (+1pp in 24h), out of 3 outcomes. The event has M$668 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict and Limitless.
One and only one of the answers resolves to "yes" if he finishes December 9th, 2027, local time, as the official president on record or not. Closes on October 20th, 2027 or the day before the first round of the next presidential elections, whichever comes first. I will not bet on this question.
