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Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?

Manifold·World·ends Oct 21, 2027
vol cum
M13.6k
vol 24h
M52
outcomes
3
ends
Oct 21, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →

One and only one of the answers resolves to "yes" if he finishes December 9th, 2027, local time, as the official president on record or not. Closes on October 20th, 2027 or the day before the first round of the next presidential elections, whichever comes first. I will not bet on this question.

argentinajavier-mileiworld-default2023-argentina-election2027-argentina-electionpolitics-defaultsudamerica-south-americaelections-world
marketselected outcome
Yes, and he will be re-elected.
rank #1
Argentina
52¢
0.4pp
24h change
vol cum
M5.2k
vol 24h
M52
spread
n/a
ends
Oct 21, 2027
timeline
opened · Feb 22, 2024opencloses · Oct 21, 2027
Yes, and he will be re-elected. · prices over time
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