Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race?
As of 18:34 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, “Republican” leads “Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race?” on Manifold at 72% (+1pp in 24h), followed by “Independent (Dan Osborn)” at 28% (-1pp in 24h) and “Democratic” at 0%, out of 4 outcomes. The event has M$25.4k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?” on Predict, an event with 9 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Predict, Opinion, Manifold, Polymarket, Gemini and Kalshi.
As identified on the ballot, regardless of how they eventually caucus. For the caucus question, see @/EvanDaniel/how-will-the-nebraska-2026-senate-w . For the two-party case, see @/lukt/which-party-will-win-nebraskas-2026 Note that the Democratic party is not expected to field a candidate; they've endorsed Osborn. In the event that Osborn declares for a major party and appears on the ballot as a D or R candidate, this market will resolve to the D or R option.
