Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Manifold·Politics

United StatesPanama

As of 06:51 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?” at 18%. The market has M$25 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.

18%

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

M102.8k

vol 24h

M25

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 20, 2029

If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times. Resolves identically to this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanal/panama-canal-retaken Update 2025-20-01 (PST): - Control means the United States assumes new primary operational authority over some part of the canal. (AI summary of creator comment)