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markets·Politics
opentrade on Manifold ↗
marketsingle market

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Manifold·Politics
United StatesPanama
15%
▼ 16.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M79.8k
vol 24h
M2.6k
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 20, 2029
YES 15¢
NO 85¢

If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times. Resolves identically to this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanal/panama-canal-retaken Update 2025-20-01 (PST): - Control means the United States assumes new primary operational authority over some part of the canal. (AI summary of creator comment)

politics-defaultmagalanddonald-trumptrumps-second-termus-politics
timeline
opened · Jan 20, 2025opencloses · Dec 20, 2029
prices over time · Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? highlighted
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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