Question 1

What is the current probability for "Severance Fan Theories [add predictions]"?

Accepted Answer

Current Manifold odds for "Severance Fan Theories [add predictions]": Helena was pretending to be her innie in S2E01 100%, Gemma is alive 100%, Burt is revealed to be still working for Lumon in some capacity 87% (top 3 of 39 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 12/31/2030.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from manifold's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/manifold/8LSdUE2cZ8. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Severance Fan Theories [add predictions]

similar markets