Will there be another assassination of a US politician before the 2026 midterms?

Manifold·Politics

As of 16:29 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, Manifold prices “Will there be another assassination of a US politician before the 2026 midterms?” at 2% (-1pp in 24h). The market has M$3.9k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

As confirmed by Wikipedia. The last one as of question writing was Melissa Hortman. On or before 2026-11-02, local time. Previously: @/mattyb/will-there-be-an-assassination-of-a-f2msv73wj7