CEO Tontine - next three CEOs out will go to 100%, others to 0% - one Out
As of 08:49 UTC on 24 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 18 markets in “CEO Tontine - next three CEOs out will go to 100%, others to 0% - one Out” on Manifold are “Bob Iger at Disney” at 100%, “Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway” at 100% and “Doug McMillon at Walmart” at 100%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Opinion, Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.
The first three CEOs to be out will be marked 100%, then everyone else will be marked 0%. Out means not CEO anymore. That includes the company being dissolved, bought, etc. If the company splits, to survive they must be leader of the largest part. If the company is bought they can only survive by being the CEO of the resulting company. If the company changes name, no issue as long as they're still CEO. If the company has no CEO, they must at least still be the clear single solo leader. Part of the 2023 CEO Tontine Markets: @/Ernie/ceo-tontine-which-three-of-these-tw @/Ernie/ceo-tontine-which-one-of-these-19-c @/Ernie/ceo-tontine-which-three-of-these-tw-66fee6b25cc1 Update 2025-07-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If three CEOs have not left their positions by the market's close date, the close date will be extended. The market will continue until the resolution condition is met.
