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If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?

Manifold·Politics
United States

Trading on Manifold closed on 3 Nov 2026; the final price for “If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?” was 3%. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

3%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M149.2k
vol 24h
M4
spread
n/a
ends
Nov 3, 2026
YES 3¢
NO 97¢

Resolved in time for 2026 midterm elections. Update 14 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win. Update 15 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if marijuana is removed from Schedule 1 in Biden’s current term. Related: (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-marijuana-be-fe)

drug-policyus-politics2024-us-presidential-electionconditional-on-bidentrump
timeline
opened · Mar 10, 2024closedresolved · Nov 3, 2026
If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms? · prices over time
−24h
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