marketsingle market
Russia collapses before 2030
Russia
13%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M26k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
YES 13¢
NO 87¢
Henry Kissinger and other experts consider the possibility of a collapse of Russia. For the purpose of this market, this means either at least three Russian republics declaring their independence or Russia becoming a failed state, not controlling all or a large part of its territory. Territories in Ukraine including Crimea are not taken into account for this market. A successful coup is not enough if the new leader still control all Russia. I will not bet on this market.
timeline
opened · Jan 26, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2030