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markets·Elections
opentrade on Manifold ↗
event7 outcomes

Which party will win the Makerfield by-election?

Manifold·Elections·ends Dec 31, 2026
W
vol cum
M18.5k
vol 24h
M1.8k
outcomes
7
ends
Dec 31, 2026
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Josh Simons has announced that he will stand down as MP in order trigger a by-election in the Makerfield constituency so that Andy Burnham can re-enter parliament. What party will win this by-election? If the by election doesn't actually happen, this market will resolve N/A

uklabour-party-ukelectionsuk-politicspolitics-default
marketselected outcome
Labour
rank #1
United Kingdom
L
87¢
▲ 12.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M7.8k
vol 24h
M1.2k
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
timeline
opened · Jun 17, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
prices over time · Labour highlighted
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
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