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Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 to all customers by the end of June?
37%
▲ 4.6pp
24h change
vol cum
M5.5k
vol 24h
M3.2k
spread
n/a
ends
Jun 30, 2026
YES 37¢
NO 63¢
The United States Government has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States. Anthropic is currently disabling Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all customers. See https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access for more. I will resolve this YES if Fable 5 is generally available to any customer, regardless of nationality. If Fable is available only on the API but is available to anyone who pays those per-token costs, I will still resolve that as YES. See also: https://manifold.markets/PhilipDowdell/will-anthropic-restore-access-to-fa-dQzO5lRQt8 [link preview]
timeline
opened · Jun 14, 2026opencloses · Jun 30, 2026