Will at least 1 non-passenger get hantavirus from the MV Hondius outbreak?
This market will resolve to YES if at least one individual who was not a passenger or crew member on the MV Hondius during the outbreak is officially confirmed by a national public health authority (e.g., CDC, WHO, or equivalent national health ministry) to have contracted the Andes virus as a result of the MV Hondius outbreak. Otherwise, if no such confirmation is made by the time the current outbreak is declared over by international health authorities, or if all reported cases are confirmed to be passengers or crew, the market will resolve to NO. Will not resolve YES if other, unrelated Hantavirus / Andes virus cases occur. For example, a couple dozen Americans contract other strains of endogenous Hantavirus every year. These would not be adequate to resolve YES... the etiology has to involve the MV Hondius outbreak. This would, however, also resolve YES if it's revealed that the passengers who contracted the disease on the MV Hondius had previously spread it to others before getting on the ship! I will not trade on this market to remain objective in its resolution.
