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Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?

Manifold·Culture

As of 19:29 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?” at 4%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, Opinion and Gemini.

4%
vol cum
M11.3k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
YES 4¢
NO 96¢

Tod Howard recently confirmed that TES VI is still in pre-production, despite originally teasing the game at E3 2018: https://www.ign.com/articles/todd-howard-bethesda-fallout-5-elder-scrolls-6-starfield?utm_source=twitter Will resolve to YES if the game is available for members of the public to purchase, download and play on any major console/platform, before January 1st 2027. Will resolve to NO if the game is only available as part of a "public beta" or similar. If the game does not explicitly contain "The Elder Scrolls VI" in its title, I will resolve at my discretion whether it is still The Elder Scrolls VI de facto.

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opened · Feb 19, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027? · prices over time
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