Will Keir Starmer resign in 2026?
Resolution criteria This market resolves YES if Starmer resigns from the office of Prime Minister at any point during 2026. This includes voluntary resignation or resignation forced by party pressure. The market resolves NO if Starmer remains Prime Minister through December 31, 2026. Resolution will be determined by official UK government announcements via GOV.UK or major news outlets confirming his resignation or departure from office. Update 2026-04-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A successful no-confidence vote or leadership challenge does not count as a resignation for this market, as it is considered a forced abdication of power rather than a resignation. Update 2026-05-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Starmer withdraws from a leadership election, this counts as a resignation for the purposes of this market and would resolve YES.
