marketsingle market
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avatar: The Way of Water"? (>2.3B worldwide)
88%
▼ 2.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M21.5k
vol 24h
M9.8k
spread
n/a
ends
Oct 31, 2026
YES 88¢
NO 12¢
At the time of market creation, "Avatar: The Way of Water" is the 3rd highest grossing movie of all time, with worldwide gross of $2,334,484,620. This market resolves YES if "Spider Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2,334,484,620 worldwide during its initial theatrical run, and NO otherwise. The resolution source will be BoxOfficeMojo. I may resolve early if it becomes overwhelmingly clear that BND is not grossing enough anymore to pass the threshold.
culture-defaultmoviesboxofficeentertainment
timeline
opened · Aug 10, 2026opencloses · Oct 31, 2026