marketsingle market
Will Russia gain more territory than it loses in July 2026?
RussiaUkraine
95%
▲ 18.3pp
24h change
vol cum
M4.6k
vol 24h
M1.7k
spread
n/a
ends
Aug 7, 2026
YES 95¢
NO 5¢
Resolution criteria This market will resolve YES if, according to a majority of the resolution sources, Russia achieves a net territorial gain in July 2026. This market will resolve NO if, according to a majority of the resolution sources, Russia does not achieve a net territorial gain in July 2026. Resolution sources The resolution sources are: Black Bird Group AMK Mapping Divgen Close date This market is set to close at 23:59 UTC on 7 August 2026, although it may resolve sooner. Clarifications This market may be voided if a resolution source fails to provide an estimate before the close date. For related markets, see my Russia-Ukraine dashboard.
timeline
opened · Aug 3, 2026opencloses · Aug 7, 2026