Question 1

What is the current probability for "Who Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary Election for US Senate in Texas?"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "Who Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary Election for US Senate in Texas?" from manifold. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 11/11/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from manifold's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/manifold/cydPdnssAn. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Who Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary Election for US Senate in Texas?

Markets

Ken Paxton

John Cornyn

Other

Wesley Hunt

Allen West

Dan Crenshaw

Eric Johnson

Dan Patrick

Chip Roy

Louie Gohmert

Ronny Jackson