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Will Vladimir Putin’s death be the result of an assassination?

Manifold·Politics
Russia

As of 14:25 UTC on 13 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will Vladimir Putin’s death be the result of an assassination?” at 22%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

22%
vol cum
M13.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2050
YES 22¢
NO 78¢

Vladimir Putin, current president of Russia is not known as the most benevolent of political figures. Along with recent political actions, he more than likely has a very large target on his back from many foreign and domestic dignitaries. Will his death be the result of an assassination attempt? This market will close upon the announcement of his death, but will remained unresolved for a short period while more information comes out in order to prevent a misresolution. Close date will be pushed back as long as necessary.

timeline
opened · Jun 15, 2023opencloses · Jan 2, 2050
Will Vladimir Putin’s death be the result of an assassination? · prices over time
−24h
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no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
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