Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
Resolution Criteria This market resolves YES if an ICE agent kills an American citizen before December 31, 2026. Resolution will be based on verified news reports confirming the death of a U.S. citizen at the hands of an ICE agent. The victim must be confirmed as a U.S. citizen by credible sources (news organizations, government statements, or court documents). Accidental deaths unrelated to enforcement actions do not count. Background An ICE agent fatally shot a woman in Minneapolis on January 7, 2026, marking a significant escalation in immigration enforcement operations. The victim, Renee Nicole Good, was a 37-year-old mother and U.S. citizen. This is at least the fifth person killed in a handful of states since 2024, with federal officers fatally shooting at least three other people in the last five months prior to the Minneapolis incident. The Trace has counted more than a dozen such shootings involving ICE and Border Patrol agents in recent months. Considerations The Minneapolis shooting has generated significant dispute over the circumstances. Dueling narratives emerged over what led to the shooting, with DHS claiming the woman "weaponized her vehicle, attempting to run over our law enforcement officers," while Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey pushed back on this characterization. The Department of Homeland Security has routinely defended the shootings as necessary to protect officer safety, however video and witnesses have disputed their accounts in many cases. ICE is used as a catch-all phrase to denote any Federal government law enforcement official. (1/27/2026)
