How will Manifold die?

Manifold·Mentions·ends Apr 21, 3069

As of 23:14 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “Ship-of-Theseus'd into a new website” leads “How will Manifold die?” on Manifold at 19%, followed by “People lose interest in it and stop using the site” at 15% and “Not with a bang but a whimper” at 10%, out of 21 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.