Israel election: Which party will win the most seats?
As of 13:10 UTC on 28 Oct 2026, “Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu)” leads “Israel election: Which party will win the most seats?” on Manifold at 99%, followed by “Yashar (Gadi Eizenkot)” at 1% and “Together (Naftali Bennet)” at 0%, out of 6 outcomes. The event has M$24.2k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to the political party or joint electoral list that wins the highest number of seats in the Knesset in the next Israeli legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026). Resolution will be based on the official final results published by the Israeli Central Elections Committee (CEC). The official results can be verified on the CEC Official Website or via primary national news reports covering the final certification. In the event of a tie in the number of seats won, the party with the higher total popular vote according to the official CEC data will be declared the winner. The Israeli authorities have confirmed the next general election for October 27, 2026. This marks a historic milestone as the first Knesset since 1988 scheduled to complete its full four-year term without dissolving early.