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Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?

Manifold·Economy
United States
17%
vol cum
M3.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2030
YES 17¢
NO 83¢

"unemployment" refers to the monthly unemployment rate published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The highest ever recorded monthly US unemployment rate was in April 2020, at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, at 14.7%. See data from BLS or St Louis Fed below: (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=1cpNO&width=670&height=475)Will the United States have an unemployment rate of 15% or more in any month before the end of this decade? See also: @/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-10-or-more @/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-20-or-more @/cash/will-us-unemployment-be-25-or-more

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opened · Sep 11, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2030
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