marketsingle market
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?
Manifold·Politics
Iran
As of 22:49 UTC on 4 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?” at 2%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?” on Polymarket, priced at 2%. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict, Manifold and Limitless.
2%
vol cum
M14.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
YES 2¢
NO 98¢
If Reza Pahlavi is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as the head of state or government of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
iranian-politicsiranmiddle-eastisraeliran-conflict
timeline
opened · Feb 28, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026