As of 05:41 UTC on 25 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 8 markets in “Houthis successfully target shipping by...?” on Polymarket are “October 31” at 8% (+1pp in 24h), “September 11” at 0% and “September 13” at 0%. The event has no Polymarket-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Polymarket.
vol cum
$135.3k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
8
ends
Oct 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
OilIranYemenHouthisGeopoliticsMiddle East
marketselected outcome
October 31
rank #1
Yemen
8¢
▲ 1.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$3.2k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.03
ends
Oct 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
