What is the current probability for "Trump vetoes Russia sanctions bill?"?

"Yes" is currently 0% (-45pp in the last 24h) on Polymarket, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 1, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/1043348. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Trump vetoes Russia sanctions bill?

·Politics

▼ 44.6pp

24h change

vol cum

$11.8k

vol 24h

$11.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 1, 2027

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump vetoes the "Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026" bill, titled as either S.5025 or H.R.5334, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump signs this bill into law, or the bill otherwise becomes law, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House and consensus of credible reporting.

TrumpputinRussiaEconomyUkrainePoliticsTrade WarGeopolitics

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opened · Sep 18, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027