What is the current probability for "Tolentino: Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "Tolentino: Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova" are Completed Match 50%, Tolentino: Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova Game Spread +/-4.5 50%, Tolentino: Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova 8% — 8 of 17 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 29, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/1059381. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event17 outcomes

Tolentino: Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova

·Sports·ends Sep 29, 2026

vol cum

$185.4k

vol 24h

$185.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 29, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 17

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

Tolentino: Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: lisa zaar

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$389

vol 24h

$389

spread

0.00

ends

Sep 29, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Zaar and Rebeka Masarova in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Lisa Zaar” if Lisa Zaar wins the first set. It will resolve to “Rebeka Masarova” if Rebeka Masarova wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger match statistics.

timeline

opened · Sep 21, 2026closedresolved · Sep 22, 2026

Tolentino: Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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