What is the current probability for "M25 Sabadell: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Alexander Petrov"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "M25 Sabadell: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Alexander Petrov" are M25 Sabadell: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Alexander Petrov Match O/U 21.5 50%, M25 Sabadell: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Alexander Petrov Match O/U 22.5 50%, M25 Sabadell: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Alexander Petrov Match O/U 23.5 50% — 4 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 29, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/1060534. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

M25 Sabadell: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Alexander Petrov

·Sports·ends Sep 29, 2026

vol cum

$16.8k

vol 24h

$16.8k

outcomes

ends

Sep 29, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

M25 Sabadell: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Alexander Petrov Set 2 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: alejandro garcia carbajal

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 29, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Alexander Petrov in the M25 Sabadell, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Alejandro Garcia Carbajal” if Alejandro Garcia Carbajal wins set 2. It will resolve to “Alexander Petrov” if Alexander Petrov wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

timeline

opened · Sep 21, 2026closedresolved · Sep 22, 2026

M25 Sabadell: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Alexander Petrov Set 2 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

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