What is the current probability for "W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Ksenia Smirnova"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Ksenia Smirnova" are W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Ksenia Smirnova Set 2 O/U 8.5 90%, W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Ksenia Smirnova Set 2 O/U 10.5 10%, W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Ksenia Smirnova Set 2 O/U 9.5 10% — 7 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 1, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/1072126. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Ksenia Smirnova

·Sports·ends Oct 1, 2026

vol cum

$23.8k

vol 24h

$23.8k

outcomes

ends

Oct 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Ksenia Smirnova Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: zuzanna pawlikowska

100¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 1, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Zuzanna Pawlikowska and Ksenia Smirnova in the W35 Sharm ElSheikh, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Zuzanna Pawlikowska” if Zuzanna Pawlikowska wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ksenia Smirnova” if Ksenia Smirnova wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

timeline

opened · Sep 24, 2026closedresolved · Sep 24, 2026

W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Ksenia Smirnova Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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