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event15 outcomes

Where will it rain on September 25?

Polymarket·Climate and Weather·ends Sep 26, 2026
vol cum
$1.2k
vol 24h
$1.2k
outcomes
15
ends
Sep 26, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 15

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on September 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.

WeatherRecurringrainHide From New
marketselected outcome
Seattle, WA
rank #1
United States
90¢
▲ 40.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$100
vol 24h
$100
spread
0.18
ends
Sep 26, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seattle, WA records measurable precipitation on September 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSEA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSEA, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SEA.

timeline
opened · Sep 24, 2026opencloses · Sep 26, 2026
Seattle, WA · prices over time
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