What is the current probability for "M25 Sabadell: Lilian Marmousez vs Sander Jong"?

Current Polymarket odds for "M25 Sabadell: Lilian Marmousez vs Sander Jong": M25 Sabadell: Lilian Marmousez vs Sander Jong Set 1 Winner 50%, M25 Sabadell: Lilian Marmousez vs Sander Jong Set 2 Winner 50%, M25 Sabadell: Lilian Marmousez vs Sander Jong Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 3, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/1081919. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event16 outcomes

M25 Sabadell: Lilian Marmousez vs Sander Jong

·Sports·ends Oct 3, 2026

vol cum

$11k

vol 24h

$11k

outcomes

ends

Oct 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

M25 Sabadell: Lilian Marmousez vs Sander Jong Set 1 Winner

rank #1

50¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 3, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Sander Jong in the M25 Sabadell, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Lilian Marmousez” if Lilian Marmousez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Sander Jong” if Sander Jong wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

timeline

opened · Sep 25, 2026opencloses · Oct 3, 2026

M25 Sabadell: Lilian Marmousez vs Sander Jong Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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