What is the current probability for "China Open, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Xiaodi You"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "China Open, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Xiaodi You" are China Open, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Xiaodi You 92%, China Open, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Xiaodi You Set Handicap +/-1.5 88%, China Open, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Xiaodi You Set 2 Winner 82% — 3 of 17 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 6, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/1097194. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

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event17 outcomes

China Open, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Xiaodi You

·Sports·ends Oct 6, 2026

vol cum

$201.9k

vol 24h

$202k

outcomes

ends

Oct 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 17

TennisSportsGames

marketselected outcome

China Open, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Xiaodi You Set 1 Winner

rank #1 · resolved: marina bassols ribera

100¢

▲ 4.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$952

vol 24h

$952

spread

0.00

ends

Oct 6, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Marina Bassols Ribera and Xiaodi You in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Marina Bassols Ribera” if Marina Bassols Ribera wins the first set. It will resolve to “Xiaodi You” if Xiaodi You wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.

timeline

opened · Sep 28, 2026closedresolved · Sep 29, 2026

China Open, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Xiaodi You Set 1 Winner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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