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event9 outcomes

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?

Polymarket·Economy·ends Nov 1, 2026
vol cum
$2.7k
vol 24h
$2.7k
outcomes
9
ends
Nov 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
EconomyFinanceFed RatesRecurringTreasuries
marketselected outcome
5.08%
rank #1
66¢
▲ 15.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$430
vol 24h
$430
spread
0.07
ends
Nov 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

timeline
opened · Oct 1, 2026opencloses · Nov 1, 2026
5.08% · prices over time
−24h
now
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