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How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Polymarket·Economy·ends Jan 1, 2027
vol cum
$3.1k
vol 24h
$3.1k
outcomes
9
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
EconomyFinanceFed RatesTreasuries
marketselected outcome
Below 4.70%
rank #1
82¢
▲ 32.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$526
vol 24h
$526
spread
0.16
ends
Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the final business day of 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the final business day of 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

timeline
opened · Oct 1, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
Below 4.70% · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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