As of 01:39 UTC on 10 Oct 2026, “86% to 89%” leads “Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio?” on Polymarket at 41% (-9pp in 24h), followed by “89% to 92%” at 39% (-11pp in 24h) and “92% to 95%” at 9% (-41pp in 24h), out of 5 outcomes. The event has $1.8k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.
vol cum
$2.3k
vol 24h
$1.8k
outcomes
5
ends
Oct 14, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
KPIsFinanceInsuranceProgressive
marketselected outcome
86% to 89%
rank #1
41¢
▼ 9.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$507
vol 24h
$507
spread
0.04
ends
Oct 14, 2026
This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Progressive's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
