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event2 outcomes

Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by…

Polymarket·Crypto·ends Nov 1, 2026

As of 03:19 UTC on 10 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by…” on Polymarket are “October 31” at 30% (-20pp in 24h) and “October 16” at 20% (-30pp in 24h). The event has $4.1k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket, Opinion and Predict.

vol cum
$4.1k
vol 24h
$4.1k
outcomes
2
ends
Nov 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
hackCryptoledgerprotocol-risk
marketselected outcome
October 31
rank #1
30¢
▼ 20.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$819
vol 24h
$819
spread
0.01
ends
Nov 1, 2026

Ledger is investigating reports of loss of funds from users who purchased hardware wallets through third-party reseller CryptoBillis. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ledger officially announces a plan to compensate, reimburse, or otherwise make whole any affected users for funds lost in this incident by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any form of qualifying compensation will count toward a “Yes” resolution, including but not limited to direct reimbursement, a dedicated victim compensation fund, or a formal arrangement with a third party (e.g., an insurer or the reseller) to cover user losses. A general statement of regret, or an offer to merely assist with investigation or asset recovery without a concrete compensation commitment, will not qualify. Replacement devices, discounts, or other goodwill gestures that do not cover lost funds will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be an official statement from Ledger or Ledger.com, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market.

timeline
opened · Oct 9, 2026opencloses · Nov 1, 2026
October 31 · prices over time
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