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Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?

Polymarket·Politics
India

As of 10:03 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Polymarket prices “Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?” at 32% (+5pp in 24h). The market has $5.3k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Predict and Kalshi.

32%
▲ 5.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$5.3k
vol 24h
$5.3k
spread
0.10
ends
Jan 1, 2027
Yes 32¢
No 68¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gyanesh Kumar ceases to be Chief Election Commissioner of India for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gyanesh Kumar's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gyanesh Kumar, the Election Commission of India, and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

IndiaPoliticscockroach party
timeline
opened · Oct 9, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
December 31 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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